Category Archives: Bonds

Bond Talk on May 23

‏If you’re in Denver on May 23 and you’re interested in the bond market, join us for a QWAFAFEW* talk: Predicting the Supply of Long-Term Bonds.  The talk will be based on a new paper by Mattia Landoni, Chris Cameron, … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Economics, Math | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

New Paper on Bond Portfolio Dynamics

  Mattia Landoni (SMU Cox School of Business) and I recently completed a paper on bond portfolio dynamics (now under review at an academic journal). We offer a new theory on the evolution of the maturity structures for rolling bond … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Economics, Math, Optimization | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

The Invisible Run-Off

Today, the Alphaville section of the Financial Times published The invisible run-off, in which I discuss a new source of “quantitative tightening” that almost no one seems to have noticed.  I estimate that $350 billion of private funds will be … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Economics | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

My Letter to the Wall Street Journal

The Wall Street Journal just published a letter of mine, Debt Bomb has Shorter Fuse Than Many Citizens Think (credit to them for the snappy title, and to my wife Corrina for invaluable editing).  I respond to the Journal’s recent editorial Obama’s … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Economics | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

My FT Alphaville Commentary on Managing U.S. Treasury Debt

My commentary Go Long, Mr Mnuchin has just been posted at FT Alphaville of the Financial Times. I address whether the U.S. Treasury debt should be lengthened and whether it should sell 50-year or 100-year bonds.  I think that “ultra-long” bonds are … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

NAMA in NOLA

I am excited to go to New Orleans this week to speak at the annual conference of the National Association of Municipal Advisors (NAMA). I will be on a panel about bond structuring with Lori Raineri of Governmental Financial Strategies Inc., … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Taming Premium Bonds

The Bond Buyer published my commentary Taming  Premium Bonds earlier today.  Although callable premium bonds are very popular in the municipal market, I argue that they hurt issuers and the market.  Market rules dictate that the proceeds to the issuer compensate only for high … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds | Tagged , , | 2 Comments